The Sony a7 III Might Have Ruined Canon's Plans For Their Mirrorless System

The Sony a7 III Might Have Ruined Canon's Plans For Their Mirrorless System

Canon is definitely late to the party when it comes to developing a professional mirrorless system, however, being late isn't always a bad thing. There are advantages to being second or even third to market when it comes to new products. Unfortunately for Canon, Sony seems to have anticipated this with the a7 III and competing is not going to be easy. 

Not so long ago Canon discussed how they had been slow when it came to innovation. One of the points that Canon's CEO made was about how latecomer manufacturers have a lot to gain. This is, of course, true in many cases because requirements for research and development are much lower. The cost of manufacturing can be lower too due to certain parts and materials becoming available to buy. Brand reputation has also helped Canon remain very popular in the market and trends would suggest that they may continue being popular when they release their own full-frame mirrorless option. All of the hard work and research that Sony has done is now available for Canon to take advantage of and their current larger market share will obviously help. Essentially for a company like Canon they can simply waltz into the market without having done much work and still be successful. 

Sony, on the other hand, seems to have different ideas and their answer is the a7 III. This "basic" model from Sony features an incredible amount of features, something not very common for entry-level full-frame cameras. Considering how most companies release their cameras, entry-level cameras generally do not offer many great features. They tend to be cameras which offer the bare minimum and this has remained relatively true for the most part. The Sony a7 II, for example, wasn't much of an upgrade from the original Sony a7, save a few improvements to the build/design and the addition of iBIS. 

The a7 III, on the other hand, is a very significant move against the norm because this camera is incredible. The camera is so good it's making Sony's own camera line-up a little confusing. Not only is it making people question whether or not they should buy the a7 III over the a7R III, but this "basic" model is also competing with their flagship camera: the Sony a9. In fact, in some areas, the a7 III is actually better than the more expensive a7R III and these are not superficial differences either. The a7 III has a much better autofocus system, significantly better low light performance — which actually rivals the a7S II — and also offers better quality 4k video. 

The question is, why does this "out of character" release matter so much and how does it impact Canon? Well, in short, this creates a very steep barrier to entry and the economic cost of entry is potentially much greater now than it was previously for Canon. Releasing something mediocre might be damning for Canon due to the a7 III and now, releasing something significant enough to get the attention of the market will cost much more than what they probably anticipated. 

Canon is notorious for being reserved when it comes to new releases. The drip feed mentality of Canon has annoyed many photographers and caused many individuals to look elsewhere for better and newer features. The alternatives might not be perfect but they are good enough for a vast number of individuals. Sony is the most viable option to switch to for many Canon shooters due to their feature-filled cameras and also the fact that adapting Canon lenses is really easy.

Canon is in a little bit of a quandary because they have a lot more to lose than Sony does. Sony as a company not only has a large enough budget to compete but, they can also take many more risks. This is why we're seeing Sony throw as many features as they possibly can into their cameras to stir up excitement, even at the cost of reliability on occasions. The Sony a7R II was effectively an unfinished camera that would overheat and the a7 III has been shown to overheat too in some demonstrations. Even with this, Sony cameras are gaining a lot of popularity and the risks they've taken seem to be paying off.

Canon, on the other hand, has a fully developed system that is soon to be obsolete due to needing to move to mirrorless, whilst still needing to cater to their DSLR sector. If they release a mirrorless camera that's too good then they risk cannibalizing their current line-up. Although Canon has discussed how they are willing to cannibalize their current line-up this sounds more like lip service. Unless Canon has set aside a large enough cash cushion or they release a fully developed line of cameras, lenses and, accessories in a very short period of time, they won't want to undermine their current systems. Chances are, Canon was probably going to release something relatively mediocre based on current standards. Unfortunately, if they do, many Canon shooters may feel that Sony is the better option and this is primarily down to the fact that the a7 III is such an incredible and cost-effective option. As mentioned above, the cost of entry for Canon is much greater now because of this intentional and strategic move from Sony.

It's true that Canon may be able to build their mirrorless system whilst using the EF mount as a crutch. This is with adapters of course, and many — including myself — may not like the idea of that, however, it's still a viable option. Alternatively, it may be a smarter move to continue with the EF mount on their mirrorless cameras, which means not investing in two different lens mounts at the same time. The EF mount is far from being dead right now and has received a number of new additions. Lenses like the Canon 85mm f/1.4L and three new tilt-shift lenses. This demonstrates a pretty strong commitment to it, and it doesn't seem like the EF mount will be going anywhere over the next few years either. In any case, the competition is definitely heating up and the mirrorless market could get interesting. 

What are your thoughts on Canon's future and what do you think they will do for their mirrorless camera? 

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Josh Leavitt's picture

Good points Usman. I'm halfway expecting their first full-frame mirrorless model to be professional tier, and perhaps more of a video-centric camera than a stills-oriented camera since the 1D X II is just a couple years old. A 1D C successor in mirrorless form would outperform Sony's offerings in autofocus thanks to DPAF, and Canon could throw in a much more sophisticated version of Eye-AF that debuted on the M50. Give it full-frame 4k oversampling, C-Log, and dual CF-Express card slots; I think that would be a safe way to start out since it would be aimed at videographers and wouldn't be compared in an apples-to-apples sense against the likes of the A9 in stills capability.

Josh Tatro's picture

That wouldn't be a bad move at all, but it would really eat into margins for their cinema camera line (especially mid to lower-tower stuff like the C200), which they've already been super reluctant to do (just look at the crippled video features on the 5D Mark IV...). I hope they do something good for customers rather than the bottom line, because more competition is good for everyone, but shareholders get cranky quite easily.

Josh Leavitt's picture

It's certainly true that Canon have always kept their cinema cameras and stills cameras segregated in terms of features. But the M50 appeared to be a halfway decent attempt at a hybrid camera. That gives me some hope that Canon will take video more seriously with their mirrorless platform than they have with their DSLRs.

Anton Blinkenberg Zeuthen's picture

The A7III and A7RIII are similar in AF speed, the difference being the larger AF area on the A7III. But in real life use it's impossible to tell the difference in terms of AF Speed.
In terms of low-light, the A7RIII and A7III are identical when the A7RIII's files are basically identical downsized to 24 megapixel.. :) So I'd be careful before I use bold terms such as "much better" and "significantly" ;)

Adam Palmer's picture

Came here to say exactly what you said. I have the a7rIII and the a7III. Autofocus and noise are close enough to be almost unnoticable. Biggest difference the is price an the megapixels.

Emmet Adriaans's picture

The only people hitting the panic button for Canon... are Sony shooters.

This can get filed in the "Gear Bro" column.

Timothy Daniel's picture

imo Canon and Nikon should both keep their existing mounts, but instead of the mirror box put a variable ND filter and/or speed booster and/or polarizer instead. You could even use a mirror mechanism, or similar, to flip these up and down as needed. Imagine being able to adapt legacy medium format glass to FF, or never having to bring a filter set with you again. Or buy a filter set.

Also, for cameras >= $2k I don't think people particularly care about size (maybe I just haven't talked to the right people?), or at least not enough to warrant switching brands over. And we haven't really seen mirrorless lenses become significantly smaller than SLR anyway.

I get that Sony and the others are way ahead in features etc. and it will stay that way until the RnD catches up, so why not throw in a few features that are impossible for the competitors and their short flange distances can't compete with?

Rhys Adams's picture

I would hope that Canon release a Full Frame mirrorless camera with an EF Mount, I think it would keep many of its customers happy. Sony's cameras are excellent and feel a little better than Canon's at the moment, so I do think that they should take a look at the current Sony line up and improve on this.

I have been tempted to go for a Sony unit and use Canon glass recently, but I am waiting to see what happens. My 5D Mk. iii is still going strong.

Anonymous's picture

It is 50/50 as it depends on Canon offering. If the parameters will be more or less identical with Sony a7 III but using higher quality materials (the camera is mentioned as PRO) and high unit production can significantly reduce the manufacturing price.

Kirk Darling's picture

Sony's R&D doesn't directly help Canon or Nikon--they would still have to develop their own way to do the same things to get past Sony's patents. All Sony has done is set a performance bar.

As I see it, the near announcement of a new version III of the essential 70-200 f/2.8 L IS zoom indicates a Canon commitment to the EF mount extending at least another decade.

I suspect they've determined by now that "compact" isn't an essential feature in a professional-level camera (and I'd agree with that), so the EF mount is fine as it is on a full-sized camera (at least no smaller than a Rebel) that merely lacks a mirror. There are plenty of things that can be done with the space.

IMO, all Sony has done (if anything) is force Canon to roll out a full line of mirrorless cameras at once, rather than piecemealed over several years. And we can't say that even if they piecemealed the rollout, the first camera wouldn't have been a 5D-level camera anyway.

Usman Dawood's picture

Sony's R&D does directly help Canon it may not be specific parts but the research part of it is gold. The things that did or didn't work for Sony is now available to see for Canon and they may be able to avoid some if not all of those mistakes. They can also get hold of a Sony camera and just figure out and understand the tech if required.

Kirk Darling's picture

Abandoning their own design philosophy trajectories and slavishly trying to copy Sony's trajectory would be the worst mistake Nikon and Canon could make.

They can never get of Sony ahead by trying to copy Sony--they couldn't even catch up by trying to copy Sony.

Usman Dawood's picture

I didn't suggest copy, I described how another persons/companies research is useful and will/can help.

Robert Xiang's picture

I'm a Canon shooter that gave up waiting for the Canon mirrorless camera and jumped on the Sony A7RIII rather than get the Canon 5D4. I still have all my Canon gear but now it gets used only if I have someone assisting me in my shoots. I love my new Sony, but my finger habits miss Canon. If Canon has gotten mirrorless right in two years when I'm ready to upgrade again, I could jump back rather than going with the A7R4/5. I don't hold any animosity towards Canon for being slow to adapt. I'll buy what's best for me.

George Kunze's picture

Ex Canon photographer. Already went to Sony. Still have some Canon. Only way I see for Canon to remain a leader is to beat Sony for features and price, AND match Tamron and Sigma in prices . The digital revolution killed many pro photographer's careers, and modern science and technology us now levelling the field for camera manufacturers. That's progress!

Jason Levine's picture

Canikon will have to release something mind blowing to stay in the game for another 5-10 years. DSLR will go the way of film (hipster and very specialized) and mirrorless will take majority market share. Fuji will keep pushing affordable medium format and DJI will bring Hasselblad into this century.

Unfortunately for Canon, they need to release a body that totally 100% invalidates their entire FF semi-pro/Pro lineup (6D/5D) in a single body. I just don’t see them doing this (see 4K video for reference).

Nikon is good. D500, D850 are monster hits and class leaders. If Nikon consolidate their d610/d750 into a next gen mirrorless body they will be golden.

Timothy Linn's picture

I would be delighted to see Sony (or anyone) force Canon out of their minimal-value-at-maximum-cost corporate philosophy.

Gustavus Adolphus's picture

Sure A7 is a nice camera and gives Canon headaches. But the real question is when will Sony release the new version III of the RX1R ? I'd be all in for an RX1R III !!

Deleted Account's picture

Speaking just about technology and not about failed marketing: - It is said an e-car consist of 1/3 part (or less) of traditional vehicle technology and 2/3 part (or more) of informatics and the share of the disruptive new technology part is growing. Informatics is responsible for the implementation of the main functionalities of the car. Vehicle functions are increasingly implemented in software. Tesla's strength lays in the informatics, which is one of the key factor in its success in the e-car industry. Other OEM makers, even the premium car makers, have (had) a definite lag behind Tesla as the introduction of functionalities that depend on advanced informatics is suffered from delays because of the organizations move toward a risky direction slowly where they have insufficient expreience. Why I have had it up to here is because the mirrorless camera technology share a great number of similarities with the e-car industry. Lenses, bodies and mounts belong to the traditional part while more and more functions are implemented cleverly in SW. Camera functions are increasingly implemented in software.This explains the battery issue of the mirrorless cameras. Think about the move from optical finders to EVF and so on. To implement a smooth and responsive EVF need a long time experiment and R&D in informatics, to build a camera architecture that is scalable for future needs, maintanability and reliability are other factors which must be ensured by SW solutions. I do not state that this experience is missing from Canon but Sony has a richer electronic/informatics ecosystem in the background. Not speaking about the role that Sony's imaging sensor production plays, which represent a huge slice of the innovation cake alone. In the past decades the comfort zone of Canon was placed in between of two wide thresholds, after Sony's redefinition of the basis FF mirrorless product, this comfort zone tightened significantly.

David Kilper's picture

Mostly naked woman at the top followed by click-bait title, then opionion piece with lots of "plausible deniability" sprinked in.

Remember when you guys cared about photography?

Usman Dawood's picture

This article has two pictures and they are both of Sony cameras. I didn't use any pictures of naked women.

Also, the title is very appropriate for the article and does not claim to know anything it literally has the word "might" in it.

It's an opinion and opinions aren't necessarily fact but can be interesting.

Spy Black's picture

"...Canon was probably going to release something relatively mediocre..."

They already did, it's called the EOS-M.

Usman Dawood's picture

LOL, true, but I meant for their full frame mirrorless camera.

Stanley L's picture

"Releasing something mediocre might be damning for Canon"

This shouldn't be a problem since Canon is used to releasing mediocre systems. :)

Deleted Account's picture

I've been a Canon shooter for all of my photography career. Demand has driven me to become a hybrid shooter, both photo and video. Canon's 5D Mk II was a game changer in the 2008. Fast forward 10 years and I have 2 5D Mk IV's and I'm not seeing 10 years worth of improvements here. My point is Canon has rested on their laurels AND they have way too many Camera models. I see the writing on the wall. Innovate or die. Remember when Kodak was on top? So Monday a Sony a7III will arrive on my doorstep along with a Sigma MC-11 Canon lens adapter. For now I'm keeping all my Canon gear. However, if this Sony and the adapter work well for hybrid shooting then I will sell my Canon bodies. Canon proved to us that they don't listen to their customers with the 5D Mk IV. Now with 2 new 70-200 lens' coming out, who asked for that? I've been asking for the 24-70mm with IS for years and they come out the 2 new 70-200's? smh.

David Stephen Kalonick's picture

Really? I love my Mark IV and the leaps might not be groundbreaking but the autofocus in video is pretty stellar as well as the % of in-focus shots on the photo end. Canon will only make the DualPixel even better.

Deleted Account's picture

Yes. I do agree with your points but that still doesn't negate the fact that Canon does not listen to their users. They never have and never will I suspect. This was painfully obvious with the 5D MkIV. I just got my A7 III Monday and I can tell you that eye AF is amazing. It's going to take me a couple weeks to get proficient. The low light performance is quite amazing too. I didn't think I would like the electronic viewfinder but surprisingly I do. My only gripe so far is how small it is. I have large hands. The battery grip is coming Thursday. Cheers

Tony Teofilo's picture

I have never been angry about a object, a thing...until the 5dMkIV. I had been saving my money, waiting to upgrade from my 5dMkiii. Motion JPEG? Nope.

I made the switch to Sony. I’ve been having fun exploring a new camera that has new tech and innovation that adds something to my workflow. The a7iii has the features I have been waiting for from Canon, at half the price I was expecting to pay for an upgrade to my Canon full-frame. Which meant I had some money to invest in Sony glass. Thankfully.

I doubt any professional would use an MC11 or Metabones unless they had to. I got the Metabones, and it was not terrible. But it was only effective part of the time. The Metabones being effective even a majority of the time wasn’t good enough for me. I was missing shots.

Sony wanted a user like me. And they got me *and* an extra chunk of my money when I decided to buy their lenses. So their plan worked.

The a7iii isn’t perfect. For one thing, it feels kind of fragile. After having a 5dMkiii, which is pretty sturdy, the a7iii almost feels like a toy. There are other issues that I hope will be fixed in the next model. At least I have faith that Sony will try to fix that and other models in the future. Instead of filling future “upgrade” camera bodies with garbage specs and bad video capability.

Sorry Canon. It was nice. But you clearly don’t want my business.

Celso Mollo's picture

Sony will take over the photography market, thery are smart strategists and very competent, and this comes from a very happy Nikon user.

Hector Belfort's picture

I know FStoppers is just getting more and more about clickbait so ever more alarming or disconnected titles are put on articles "The Sony a7 III Might Have Ruined Canon's Plans For Their Mirrorless System" is typical.
Canon are smart. , They are not too panicked about mirrorless. In the end is it a huge advantage. Not when it comes to the quality of photographs. It has other certain advantages like potential for even high FPS but even the form size which could have been an advantage doesn't exist. Sony plus their big heavy lens = Full Frame with big heavy lens but the ergnomics is better on the mirrored full frame. Sony are starting to make their cameras bigger because they realise this too. There has to be a good grip. Canon and Nikons are highly reliable and proven so professionals are risking moving in large numbers.
The camera unit in Sony is not small but its one of Sony's smaller units. If it doesn't really work out you wonder at Sony's committment to it. Canon are far more committed. It doesn't matter if Sony have deeper pockets - if its camera unit doesn't make serious money it will be closed down or sold off. (or just stick to making sensors for others).

Usman Dawood's picture

How is my title disconnected from my article? Just cause you disagree (which is fine by the way) doesn't make my title click bait or reduce anything I've said in my article. It just means we don't agree. Stick to the points instead of trying to diminish another person, bad form.

Also, have you read any of my other articles about Canon? Seems like you might actually agree with me.

Matt Williams's picture

People on this site love to call nearly every article "clickbait." Anything they remotely disagree with or doesn't interest them is clickbait.

Usman Dawood's picture

I’m feeling it lol.

Thanks for the support Matt.

Hector Belfort's picture

A totally speculative article with no particular insight into what Canon are doing, ignoring Canon's current performance and even in the Mirrorless in Sony's home market Japan. So you use the terms "may have" because you don't know or suspect yourself you might be proven incorrect. So yes I'd rate the headline as click bait. Some of the points you raise in your article are valid but they are cliched and repeated endlessly in many articles so it needed a bit of punch in the headline.

Usman Dawood's picture

It’s an opinion, that’s how they work. You say some of my points are valid but this is also a “totally speculative article” too, how does that work?

Just because you disagree with something doesn’t make it click bait. Explain why the title is click bait, just because something is an opinion does not make it click bait. Not sure you understand what click bait actually is.

Hector Belfort's picture

"May have ruined" is not supported anywhere in your article. You have absolutely no insight into what Canon are planning to do and whether the A7 III changes an iota of what they are doing. You can't even commit to it - "may have". Its not even an opinion - everything is "may". So for me yes it is click bait - a filler article telling us nothing

Usman Dawood's picture

Wait so you’re upset about this because I didn’t say I know this for certain.

Come on man seriously? Ok well I’ll just ignore you from now on.

Hector Belfort's picture

It at least might make you think to write realistic titles to your articles and do a bit of research first and make them less speculative and more interesting

Pieter Batenburg's picture

@Fergal O'Callaghan. Canon are ultra committed to squeeze your last dime out of your pockets. Just tell me how you can prove Canon is committed with reference to their last introduced cameras???

Matt Williams's picture

I am more interested, as a Nikon DSLR user, at what Nikon comes up with regarding mirrorless. I'm holding out on purchasing the A7 III to see what Nikon delivers us. Though, I do own the original a7 (and an IR converted a6000), because right now Sony is the only (reasonably priced) full-frame mirrorless on the market and I use a lot of vintage adapted glass (and the 55 1.8 is a true gem of a lens). But, unlike Canon lenses, Nikon lenses don't adapt as well to Sony regarding AF capabilities. If they did, I would be all over the A7 III right now.

Canon definitely has a leg up on Nikon in certain areas, particularly autofocus. Though, Nikon did show true innovation and promise with the Nikon 1 and hopefully they can develop similar technology for full frame. Nikon, on the other hand, will definitely have a better sensor in their mirrorless camera, unless Canon manages to up its game in that area.

Honestly, I may have a hard time waiting and will just end up getting the a7III. I already have a few Sony primes, and I'll still hold on to my DSLRs as long as I can along with a mirrorless system. It would just be nice to be able to use my Nikon lenses on such a camera without degradation to AF abilities.

Jack Pearson's picture

I like the Nikon 1 and would buy one if they would update the sensor and processor. But I've given up hope for the Nikon 1.

Usman Dawood's picture

You really really need to read my other articles lol. Have a look at my Canon articles and how positive I’ve been about them and negative about Sony.

Pieter Batenburg's picture

That is true. Some people (as in me) even called you a Canon fan-boy.

Pieter Batenburg's picture

Canon is of course capable of making a really good MILC with lots of advanced features. The question is not if they are capable of developping such a camera but it they are willing to make such a camera.

For the past few years, Canon have shown that they hate competing with other cameras in their line-up and actively handicapping their cameras. This strategy has earned them heaps of cash but I doubt if they can continue this strategy.

Even the most hardcore fan-boy should admit by now that Canon is holding out and not offering features most other companies offer. So far Canon hasn't abandonned this strategy. They did this again with the M5, offering no IS and dual pixel af when shooting 4k. The camera is hardware capable of using this but Canon handicapped the camera yet again.

Canon may be reluctant to cannibalise their product, but Sony don't care.
They will do it for them.

bergstrom trom's picture

canon need to make a something with the same features as the a7iii, look at YouTube, look at videos where people have complaints about about the a7iii (banding etc,) and factor them in, when planning the the build and come in at a better price point than the a7iii came in.

David Stephen Kalonick's picture

Am I the only photographer that gives 0 fucks about mirrorless? I'm still loving my Mark IV and get stoked about the Mark V. My friend is still geeking out over her new Nikon D850. Kids these days need all the bells and whistles. I do enjoy that Canon and Nikon shooters are bonding over shitting on Sony. lol

Usman Dawood's picture

Probably not the only one but regardless of we individually feel Canon and Nikon will be making a mirrorless
camera and they more than likely will move completely over to it.

craig john's picture

"If they release a mirrorless camera that's too good then they risk cannibalizing their current line-up."

If this is Canon's thought process, then they might as well forget about mirrorless altogether with such a defeatist attitude.

1) Would Canon rather have Sony cannibalize their current line-up, and Canon get's absolutely ZERO from this market by releasing nothing?

2) Would Canon rather release an inferior camera, and have Sony cannibalize their current line-up, and they now lose money by investing tons of money in R&D, manufacturing and distributions costs in a camera very people want? ...Which puts them further in the hole.

3) Or do they release the best damn camera they can at the $2,000-$2,500 price point - a camera that Canon users can get excited about, and encourages their current users to migrate to mirrorless. And.... this would encourage some owners from other brands to buy in...

Pick your poison...

Usman Dawood's picture

I want number 3 but how likely is that you think?

I hope Canon do that but based on the fact that is it Canon I doubt we’re going to get that.

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